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Posterior Sampling For Continuing Environments

Β·2022

Abstract

We develop an extension of posterior sampling for reinforcement learning (PSRL) that is suited for a continuing agent-environment interface and integrates naturally into agent designs that scale to complex environments. The approach, continuing PSRL, maintains a statistically plausible model of the environment and follows a policy that maximizes expected \(\gamma\)-discounted return in that model. At each time, with probability \(1-\gamma\), the model is replaced by a sample from the posterior distribution over environments. For a choice of discount factor that suitably depends on the horizon \(T\), we establish an \(\tilde\{O\}(\tau S \sqrt\{A T\})\) bound on the Bayesian regret, where \(S\) is the number of environment states, \(A\) is the number of actions, and \(\tau\) denotes the reward averaging time, which is a bound on the duration required to accurately estimate the average reward of any policy. Our work is the first to formalize and rigorously analyze the resampling approach

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