Abstract

Reinforcement learning (RL) is a dominant paradigm for improving the reasoning abilities of large language models, yet its effectiveness varies across tasks and compute budgets. We propose a *relative-budget* theory explaining this variation through a single quantity called relative budget \(\xi := H/\mathbb\{E\}[T]\), where \(H\) is the generation horizon (token budget) and \(T\) denotes the number of tokens until the first correct solution under a base policy. We show that \(\xi\) determines sample efficiency by controlling reward variance and the likelihood of informative trajectories. Our analysis reveals three regimes: in the *deficient* regime (\(\xi \to 0\)), informative trajectories are rare and the sample complexity explodes; in the *balanced* regime (\(\xi=\Theta(1)\)), informative trajectories occur with non-negligible probability and RL is maximally sample-efficient; and in the *ample* regime (\(\xi \to \infty\)), learning remains stable but marginal gains per iteration dim

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  • arxiv keywachi2026a

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