Abstract

Temporal Difference Learning (TD(0)) is fundamental in reinforcement learning, yet its finite-sample behavior under non-i.i.d. data and nonlinear approximation remains unknown. We provide the first high-probability, finite-sample analysis of vanilla TD(0) on polynomially mixing Markov data, assuming only Holder continuity and bounded generalized gradients. This breaks with previous work, which often requires subsampling, projections, or instance-dependent step-sizes. Concretely, for mixing exponent \(\beta > 1\), Holder continuity exponent \(\gamma\), and step-size decay rate \(\eta \in (1/2, 1]\), we show that, with high probability, \[ \| \theta_t - \theta^* \| \leq C(\beta, \gamma, \eta)\, t^\{-\beta/2\} + C'(\gamma, \eta)\, t^\{-\eta\gamma\} \] after \(t = \mathcal\{O\}(1/\epsilon^2)\) iterations. These bounds match the known i.i.d. rates and hold even when initialization is nonstationary. Central to our proof is a novel discrete-time coupling that bypasses geometric ergodicity, yi

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