Abstract

Temporal credit assignment in reinforcement learning is challenging due to delayed and stochastic outcomes. Monte Carlo targets can bridge long delays between action and consequence but lead to high-variance targets due to stochasticity. Temporal difference (TD) learning uses bootstrapping to overcome variance but introduces a bias that can only be corrected through many iterations. TD(\(\lambda\)) provides a mechanism to navigate this bias-variance tradeoff smoothly. Appropriately selecting \(\lambda\) can significantly improve performance. Here, we propose Chunked-TD, which uses predicted probabilities of transitions from a model for computing \(\lambda\)-return targets. Unlike other model-based solutions to credit assignment, Chunked-TD is less vulnerable to model inaccuracies. Our approach is motivated by the principle of history compression and 'chunks' trajectories for conventional TD learning. Chunking with learned world models compresses near-deterministic regions of the enviro

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