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Data-driven inventory management for new products: An adjusted Dyna- approach with transfer learning

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a novel reinforcement learning algorithm for inventory management of newly launched products with no historical demand information. The algorithm follows the classic Dyna- structure, balancing the model-free and model-based approaches, while accelerating the training process of Dyna- and mitigating the model discrepancy generated by the model-based feedback. Based on the idea of transfer learning, warm-start information from the demand data of existing similar products can be incorporated into the algorithm to further stabilize the early-stage training and reduce the variance of the estimated optimal policy. Our approach is validated through a case study of bakery inventory management with real data. The adjusted Dyna- shows up to a 23.7\% reduction in average daily cost compared with -learning, and up to a 77.5\% reduction in training time within the same horizon compared with classic Dyna-. By using transfer learning, it can be found that the adjusted Dyna- has the lowest total cost, lowest variance in total cost, and relatively low shortage percentages among all the benchmarking algorithms under a 30-day testing.

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